Grand Slam prediction

Dynamic Elo

Standard Elo, then a learned shift from fatigue, clutch, and biometric edge. Held-out 2024 season.

73.5% accuracy
0.818 AUC

Fatigue

F

How much the body has already spent this fortnight.

Clutch

C

Whether the player actually wins the points that decide the set.

Biometric

B

A small physical edge, held out of the training leak.